Models / calibrated-classifier

Pace Mode

Which pace mode a driver is running — push, hold, manage, warm-up or delta — per lap.

calibrated-classifieranalytics.strategy

How it works

A Gaussian mixture over the degradation-detrended pace residual quantises each lap into one of five named modes. The mixture is fitted per compound with a data-selected component count and then mapped onto the five product labels, so the mode boundaries follow the season's own pace distribution rather than fixed thresholds. Serve aggregates the per-mode posterior mass rather than reporting a hard assignment only.

Inputs

  • degradation-detrended pace residual
  • tyre compound
  • stint lap
  • fuel-corrected lap time

Output

drivers[].paceModeOne of push | hold | manage | warm-up | delta for this lap.

Calibration

Gated on held-out log-likelihood gain over a null model, not on cluster compactness, with an age-confound control; both gates carry a negative control that fails them. See the calibration reference for the shared pipeline.

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